Arkansas Lottery Odds — Every Game, Every Prize Tier

Complete odds breakdown and prize tables for all Arkansas lotto-style games.

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Natural State Jackpot

Pick 5 from 1–39

Jackpot odds: 1 in 575,757 Any prize: 1 in 9

Prize Tier Match Odds Prize
Match 5 5 1 in 575,757 Jackpot
Match 4 4 1 in 3,387 Pari-mutuel
Match 3 3 1 in 103 Pari-mutuel
Match 2 2 1 in 10 Free Ticket
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LOTTO

Pick 6 from 1–40 + Bonus from 1–40

Jackpot odds: 1 in 3,838,380 Any prize: 1 in 33

Prize Tier Match Odds Prize
6 + Bonus 6+bonus 1 in 3,838,380 Jackpot
Match 6 6 1 in 3,838,380 Pari-mutuel
5 + Bonus 5+bonus 1 in 639,730 Pari-mutuel
Match 5 5 1 in 19,386 Pari-mutuel
Match 4 4 1 in 485 Pari-mutuel
Match 3 3 1 in 35 Free Ticket
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Millionaire For Life

Pick 5 from 1–58 + Millionaire Ball from 1–5

Jackpot odds: 1 in 22,910,580 Any prize: 1 in 5

Prize Tier Match Odds Prize
5 + Millionaire Ball 5+bonus 1 in 22,910,580 $18M for life
Match 5 5 1 in 5,727,645 $100K/yr for life
4 + Millionaire Ball 4+bonus 1 in 86,455 $7,500
Match 4 4 1 in 21,614 $100
3 + Millionaire Ball 3+bonus 1 in 1,663 $25
Match 3 3 1 in 416 $5
2 + Millionaire Ball 2+bonus 1 in 98 $5
1 + Millionaire Ball 1+bonus 1 in 16 $2
Millionaire Ball only 0+bonus 1 in 8 $2
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Powerball

Pick 5 from 1–69 + Powerball from 1–26

Jackpot odds: 1 in 292,201,338 Any prize: 1 in 25

Prize Tier Match Odds Prize
5 + Powerball 5+bonus 1 in 292,201,338 Jackpot
Match 5 5 1 in 11,688,054 $1,000,000
4 + Powerball 4+bonus 1 in 913,129 $50,000
Match 4 4 1 in 36,525 $100
3 + Powerball 3+bonus 1 in 14,494 $100
Match 3 3 1 in 580 $7
2 + Powerball 2+bonus 1 in 701 $7
1 + Powerball 1+bonus 1 in 92 $4
Powerball only 0+bonus 1 in 38 $4
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Mega Millions

Pick 5 from 1–70 + Mega Ball from 1–25

Jackpot odds: 1 in 302,575,350 Any prize: 1 in 24

Prize Tier Match Odds Prize
5 + Mega Ball 5+bonus 1 in 302,575,350 Jackpot
Match 5 5 1 in 12,607,306 $1,000,000
4 + Mega Ball 4+bonus 1 in 931,001 $10,000
Match 4 4 1 in 38,792 $500
3 + Mega Ball 3+bonus 1 in 14,547 $200
Match 3 3 1 in 606 $10
2 + Mega Ball 2+bonus 1 in 693 $10
1 + Mega Ball 1+bonus 1 in 89 $4
Mega Ball only 0+bonus 1 in 37 $2
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Understanding Lottery Odds

Lottery odds are calculated using combinatorics — the branch of mathematics that counts how many ways you can select a subset of numbers from a larger pool. The formula C(n, k) = n! / (k!(n−k)!) tells us exactly how many unique combinations exist. For example, choosing 5 numbers from a pool of 69 yields 11,238,513 possible combinations. When a bonus ball from a separate pool is added, the total combinations multiply further.

Each prize tier has its own odds based on how many of the drawn numbers you need to match. Matching fewer numbers is far more likely: while the jackpot might be a 1-in-300-million shot, matching just one number plus the bonus ball could be around 1 in 38. The overall chance of winning any prize at all is the combined probability across all tiers.

Remember that every draw is independent — previous results have no effect on future outcomes. The odds remain exactly the same for each new drawing, regardless of which numbers have appeared recently. Understanding these probabilities helps set realistic expectations and makes the game more enjoyable.

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